Daniel Jones TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

TD Passes

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 8th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.57 per game this year.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 52.2% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 32.3 passes this week, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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