Daniel Jones TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

TD Passes

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+196/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -260.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 7th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.70 per game since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-most sluggish in the NFL since the start of last season.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.5% red zone pass rate.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 31.4 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.

More Daniel Jones Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow