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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -275 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.

Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a terrific 67.2% Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 49.8% red zone pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Daniel Jones has been among the weakest touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a miserable 0.92 per game while checking in at the 25th percentile.

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