Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 4:52 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.4 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Favors Under

This game's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Colts, who are big -10-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.4 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
Daniel Jones has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Daniel Jones's 3.82 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a meaningful decline in his running skills over last season's 5.85 figure.

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