Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to earn 6.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (20.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).
Daniel Jones has run for quite a few more yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Favors Under

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-least yards in the NFL (just 109 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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