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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 5

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants

Daniel Jones Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+336/-636).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +394 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +336.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 45.8% red zone run rate.

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.

Daniel Jones isn't afraid to call his own number near the goal line, accounting for 23.1% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (89th percentile among quarterbacks).

Daniel Jones has run for 0.50 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among quarterbacks (94th percentile).

The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a big 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing squads have run for the 6th-least touchdowns in the NFL (0.50 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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