Daniel Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 19:14:53 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 211.5 (+108/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 219.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 211.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
Since the start of last season, the porous Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded a monstrous 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-worst rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: fewest in football.
Daniel Jones's throwing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 66.4% to 63.4%.
Daniel Jones's passing efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 5.98 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.79 figure last year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.