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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 198.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 199.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 131.8 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

With an impressive 5.50 adjusted yards-per-target (75th percentile) this year, Daniel Jones ranks as one of the most efficient passers in football.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a whopping 6.18 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In tallying a meager 23.6 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Daniel Jones ranks among the bottom QBs in football (17th percentile) in this regard.

Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Daniel Jones ranks as one of the worst QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging 128.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 12th percentile.

Daniel Jones's 54.0% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a significant regression in his passing accuracy over last year's 66.3% figure.

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