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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 213.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 215.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 213.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Giants to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense last year: 7th-most in the league.

Last year, the weak Minnesota Vikings defense has been torched for a monstrous 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Last year, the anemic Vikings defense has given up the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a colossal 5.25 YAC.

The Minnesota cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst group of CBs in the league last year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Giants to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The New York O-line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all air attack stats across the board.

Daniel Jones checks in as one of the worst per-play quarterbacks in football last year, averaging a lowly 5.75 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 17th percentile.

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