Daniel Jones Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Pass Attempts

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+116/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 28.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.

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