Daniel Jones Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Interceptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-113/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs in this game, implying more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a staggering 60.5 per game on average).
In registering a whopping 1.11 interceptions per game this year, Daniel Jones places among the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL (9th percentile).
The Cowboys have intercepted 0.35 throws per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst defense in football by this standard

Favors Under

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.1% pass rate.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
In this week's game, Daniel Jones is projected by the predictive model to total the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.3.

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