Daniel Jones Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Completions

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a terrific 67.2% Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (64.4%).
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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