Daniel Jones Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Completions

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the league vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season (68.5%).
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.