Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-122/+117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.