Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, the Colts defense has allowed the opposing side to play 10th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) last year at 28.48 seconds per snap.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -3-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in football last year when it comes to stopping the run.

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