Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 8:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the New York Giants offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
This week, Daniel Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 6th-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 7.3.
Daniel Jones has been much more involved in his team's rushing attack this year (35.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (22.2%).

Favors Under

The Giants are a huge 13-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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