Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+112/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants have been the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 43.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to accrue 6.5 carries in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
Daniel Jones isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 22.2% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among QBs.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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