Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to accumulate 5.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (19.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.7% in games he has played).
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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