Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 42.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to earn 4.9 carries in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (17.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.

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