Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1464/-2041).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this game, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Titans have been the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 100.0% red zone pass rate.
The projections expect the Titans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.61 seconds per play.
When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Titans grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Favors Under
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest level in football against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (64.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest TDs through the air in football to TEs: 0.22 per game since the start of last season.