My Account Log Out

reorder

Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants will be forced to utilize backup QB Tommy DeVito in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Giants are a huge 16.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Giants to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Giants this year (a staggering 60.8 per game on average).

The Ravens defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.7 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are predicted by the projection model to run only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The New York O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Baltimore's group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Daniel Bellinger Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™