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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs New England Patriots

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 131.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The Patriots defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Daniel Bellinger to be much more involved in his team's passing attack in this week's contest (12.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.7% in games he has played).

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New England's collection of safeties has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

Daniel Bellinger's receiving performance has worsened this season, accumulating a measly 1.5 adjusted receptions compared to 2.7 last season.

Daniel Bellinger's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 91.2% to 85.0%.

More Daniel Bellinger Player Props

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