Daniel Bellinger Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Daniel Bellinger

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (63.4%) versus TEs this year (63.4%).
The New York Giants O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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