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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-195).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.
  • The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (67.5%) vs. tight ends this year (67.5%).

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