Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Daniel Bellinger

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Giants being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game.
The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.1 per game) this year.
In this game, Daniel Bellinger is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.0 targets.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
After averaging 12.0 air yards per game last season, Daniel Bellinger has gotten worse this season, now pacing 4.0 per game.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Daniel Bellinger's 13.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a noteable decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 27.0 mark.
Daniel Bellinger's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 91.2% to 80.4%.

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