Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Daniel Bellinger

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+113/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New York Giants O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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