Daniel Bellinger Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Daniel Bellinger

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receiving TD

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+403/-864).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +430 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +403.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
The New York Giants have utilized play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 7th-least TDs through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.23 per game this year.
The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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