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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+417/-919).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +432 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +417.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (64.0%).
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in football to TEs: 0.18 per game since the start of last season.

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