D'Andre Swift Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Chicago Bears

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-112/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Bears to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a colossal 66.4 per game on average).
Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
D'Andre Swift slots into the 84th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 16.2 mark this year.

Favors Under

Right now, the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (47.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Seattle Seahawks, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.
Among all running backs, D'Andre Swift grades out in the 84th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, comprising 46.7% of the volume in his offense's running game near the end zone.
When it comes to air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the paltry 9th percentile among running backs this year, with just -5.0 per game.
The receiving TD column reads "0" on D'Andre Swift's box scores this year.

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