D'Andre Swift Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Chicago Bears

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 22, 2026 8:03 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-141/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by our trusted projection set to call 66.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 67.2 per game on average).
D'Andre Swift's 16.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for running backs.
D'Andre Swift's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 74.8% to 82.3%.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 5th-most run-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
Out of all running backs, D'Andre Swift ranks in the 83rd percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, accounting for 46.4% of the usage in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone.
When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the paltry 18th percentile among RBs this year, with just -4.0 per game.

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