D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 7, 2026 8:52 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (+102/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 62.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 6 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to run on 46.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The Chicago Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 66.1 plays per game.
In this week's contest, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 19.1 rush attempts.
The model projects D'Andre Swift to be a more integral piece of his team's ground game in this contest (64.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (51.6% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This year, the stout Tampa Bay Buccaneers run defense has given up a paltry 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 3rd-best in the league.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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