D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 7:52 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-112/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
The model projects the Chicago Bears to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears last year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to accrue 14.2 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
D'Andre Swift has received 49.4% of his offense's run game usage last year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
The Panthers defensive tackles project as the 5th-best DT corps in the league last year in regard to defending the run.

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