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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Bears to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • D'Andre Swift's 37.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows an impressive diminishment in his rushing talent over last year's 62.0 figure.
  • D'Andre Swift's rushing efficiency has worsened this season, notching a measly 2.81 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.33 rate last season.
  • With an atrocious total of 1.75 yards after contact (5th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the least effective RBs in football.

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