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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

D'Andre Swift has been given 49.4% of his offense's run game usage since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

D'Andre Swift has averaged 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (87th percentile).

The Houston defensive tackles profile as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

With a 33.9% rate of running the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL has been the Bears.

With an atrocious total of 2.43 yards after contact (10th percentile) since the start of last season, D'Andre Swift has been among the easiest-to-tackle running backs in the league.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Texans run defense has conceded a monstrous 3.62 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 32nd-worst rate in the NFL.

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