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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 6th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

D'Andre Swift has generated 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (90th percentile).

The Tennessee defensive ends project as the 5th-worst group of DEs in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While D'Andre Swift has earned 50.1% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago's run game in this game at 35.3%.

D'Andre Swift comes in as one of the bottom RBs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging just 2.44 yards-after-contact last year while checking in at the 10th percentile.

Last year, the deficient Titans run defense has conceded a whopping 3.95 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 28th-worst rate in the NFL.

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