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D'Andre Swift
NFL · Player Props
D'Andre Swift
RB · Detroit Lions
Rushing Yards
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:31 PM UTC
NFL Props D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 40.7% run rate.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • D'Andre Swift has rushed for many more yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (44.0).
  • D'Andre Swift's ground effectiveness has been refined this year, accumulating 6.94 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.75 rate last year.
  • D'Andre Swift has been more successful in grinding out extra rushing yardage this season, averaging 4.12 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.40 mark last season.
Favors Under
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (17.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (34.0% in games he has played).
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