D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects D'Andre Swift to accumulate 11.1 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
D'Andre Swift has received 43.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
D'Andre Swift has grinded out 50.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (81st percentile).
D'Andre Swift's running effectiveness has improved this year, notching 8.95 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.74 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

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