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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+101/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
  • D'Andre Swift's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, notching 5.66 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.76 mark last season.
  • D'Andre Swift has been among the leading running backs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.17 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 76th percentile.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-most yards in the league (141 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • D'Andre Swift has been a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (25.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.3%).

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