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D'Andre Swift
NFL · Player Props
D'Andre Swift
RB · Detroit Lions
Rushing TD
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC
NFL Props D'Andre Swift Rushing TD

D'Andre Swift Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-443).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -348 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -443.

Favors Over
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the 28th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.
  • The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-least run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.0% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
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