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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

D'Andre Swift Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+213/-326).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -276 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -326.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in run blocking.

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most touchdowns in football (1.14 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Miami Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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