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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 59.0 plays per game.
  • With an exceptional 51.7% Route% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, D'Andre Swift stands as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the league.
  • In this contest, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.2 targets.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • D'Andre Swift's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.0% to 73.5%.
  • The Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (80.3%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (80.3%).

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