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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-126/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chicago Bears feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • A passing game script is implied by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Bears as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bears to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • D'Andre Swift's 53.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a meaningful decline in his receiving skills over last year's 83.0% rate.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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