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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Bears rank as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 66.1% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • With an elite 47.1% Route Participation% (81st percentile) since the start of last season, D'Andre Swift stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in football.
  • In this week's contest, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Texans, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

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