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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

The model projects D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

D'Andre Swift has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 11.3% this year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) vs. running backs this year (80.1%).

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

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