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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.
  • D'Andre Swift has run a route on 53.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 81st percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.
  • The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • D'Andre Swift is positioned as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 3.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • This year, the fierce New England Patriots defense has yielded a puny 80.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-best rate in football.

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