My Account Log Out

reorder

D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -169 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

With a sizeable 47.1% Route Participation Rate (84th percentile) last year, D'Andre Swift ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in football.

The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to earn 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

D'Andre Swift comes in as one of the best pass-game running backs last year, averaging a fantastic 2.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tennessee's safety corps has been awful last year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Last year, the stout Titans defense has allowed a feeble 77.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 10th-best rate in the league.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™