D'Andre Swift Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect D'Andre Swift to accumulate 4.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
D'Andre Swift has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.0% this year, which puts him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
With an outstanding 3.7 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates among the top RBs in the pass game in football.
D'Andre Swift's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 75.9% to 89.2%.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.

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