D'Andre Swift Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
With a remarkable 2.8 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the leading pass-catching RBs in football.
D'Andre Swift's 83.9% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a noteable improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 75.9% rate.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in football.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.
D'Andre Swift's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 22.2.
This year, the imposing Seahawks defense has surrendered a paltry 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-lowest rate in the league.

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