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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With a remarkable 2.8 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the leading pass-catching RBs in football.
  • D'Andre Swift's 83.9% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a noteable improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 75.9% rate.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.
  • D'Andre Swift's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 22.2.
  • This year, the imposing Seahawks defense has surrendered a paltry 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-lowest rate in the league.

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