D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 22, 2026 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-136/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -404 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by our trusted projection set to call 66.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 67.2 per game on average).
In this week's contest, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the model to rank in the 81st percentile among running backs with 3.4 targets.
D'Andre Swift has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 11.6% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among RBs.
D'Andre Swift has totaled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the paltry 18th percentile among RBs this year, with just -4.0 per game.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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