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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 61.9% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • D'Andre Swift has run a route on 56.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
  • In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is expected by the projection model to land in the 86th percentile among RBs with 3.9 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are forecasted by the model to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • D'Andre Swift has notched a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Commanders defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 22.0) versus running backs this year.
  • This year, the formidable Commanders defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a feeble 5.5 yards.

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